Infectious diseases, such as Ebola and West Nile
virus, will rapidly spread to new areas as a result of global warming. He says humans
can expect to face new illnesses as climate change brings crops, livestock, and
humans into contact with pathogens, according to Nebraska, USA-based zoologist, Professor Daniel Brooks.
Professor
Brooks says it will be 'the death of a thousand cuts' with society unable to
keep up with the speed of disease as it spreads around the world.
Infectious diseases, such as Ebola (as seen above) and
West Nile virus, will rapidly spread to new areas as a result of global
warming.
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'It's not
that there's going to be one "Andromeda Strain" that will wipe
everybody out on the planet,' Professor Brooks said, referring to the 1971
science fiction film about a deadly pathogen.
'There are
going to be a lot of localized outbreaks that put a lot of pressure on our
medical and veterinary health systems.'
Mosquitoes are the cause of dengue fever and malaria. |
In his
research, Professor Brooks has focused primarily on parasites in the tropics,
while his colleague, Professor Eric Hoberg, has worked in Arctic regions.
Each has
observed the arrival of species that hadn't previously lived in that area and
the departure of others, said Professor Brooks, who is affiliated with the
University of Nebraska-Lincoln.
'Over the
last 30 years, the places we've been working have been heavily impacted by
climate change,' he added.
'Though I
was in the tropics and he was in the Arctic, we could see something was
happening.'
Changes in
habitat from global warming could mean animals are exposed to new parasites and
pathogens.
For
example, some lungworms in recent years have moved northward and shifted hosts
from caribou to muskoxen in the Canadian Arctic.
But for
more than 100 years, scientists have assumed parasites don't quickly jump from one
species to another because of the way parasites and hosts co-evolve.
Professor
Brooks calls it the 'parasite paradox.' Over time, hosts and pathogens become
more tightly adapted to one another.
According
to previous theories, this should make emerging diseases rare, because they
have to wait for the right random mutation to occur.
But it
turns out such jumps happen more quickly than anticipated. Even pathogens that
are highly adapted to one host are able to shift to new ones under the right
circumstances.
European
holiday destinations could become hotspots for the nasty viral illness thanks
to climate change, experts have warned.
The Po
Valley in Italy, the Spanish Mediterranean and southern Spain are the areas at
most risk, according to research last year by the University of East Anglia
(UEA).
Dengue is
a viral infection spread by mosquitoes. Symptoms include a severe flu-like
illness, fever, headache, muscle ache, rash, nausea and vomiting.
The new
study was based on data collected in Mexico, where dengue is a common
problem.
Researchers
looked at the occurrence of the viral illness and climate variables such as
temperature, humidity and rainfall, along with other factors.
They then
combined their findings with information about EU countries, to model which
areas are most likely to be at risk, according to the study, published in the
journal BMC Public Health.
'Our study
has shown that the risk of dengue fever is likely to increase in Europe under
climate change,' said lead researcher Professor Paul Hunter.
'Almost
all of the excess risk will fall on the coastal areas of the Mediterranean and
Adriatic seas and the North Eastern part of Italy, particularly the Po Valley.'
Professor
Brooks is calling for a 'fundamental conceptual shift' recognizing that parasites
and pathogens retain genetic capabilities that allow them to quickly shift to
new hosts.
'Though a
parasite might have a very specialized relationship with one particular host in
one particular place, there are other hosts that may be as susceptible,'
Professor Brooks said.
In fact,
the new hosts are more susceptible to infection and get sicker from it, he
said, because they haven't yet developed resistance.
Though
resistance can evolve fairly rapidly, this only changes the emergent pathogen
from an acute disease problem to a chronic problem, Brooks said.
'West Nile
Virus is a good example of this phenomenon - no longer an acute disease problem
for humans or wildlife in North America, it nonetheless is here to stay,' he
said.
In
addition to treating human cases of an emerging disease and developing a
vaccine for it, he said, scientists can learn which non-human species carry the
virus.
'We have
to admit we're not winning the war against emerging diseases,' Professor Brooks
said.
'We're not anticipating
them. We're not paying attention to their basic biology, where they might come
from and the potential for new pathogens to be introduced.'
Dengue fever could rise in Europe with high risk areas being around Italy and Spain. |
Culled from Daily Mail Science & Technology
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